Important legal notice
Agriculture and life sciences in the economy

The AGRITRADE action focuses on strategic policy analysis of agricultural market and trade policies, based on advanced economic modelling tools and statistical methods, supporting in particular the main customer DG AGRI.

From a mainly macro-economic perspective, AGRITRADE assesses the impact of the post 2013 CAP reform, provides analysis of the development of agricultural commodity markets, and carries out analysis of international trade agreements, adjusting the research focus to the policy agenda.

This requires particular attention to the continuing development of the large-scale economic modelling tools (partial and general equilibrium model) and software infrastructure within the integrated Agro-Economic Modelling Platform (iMAP). Emphasis is also put on data needs, building top quality EU-27 economic databases for agriculture, the food chain, rural areas and the whole economy (social accounting matrices).

The tools and databases cover the regional, national and international level to cope with the different dimensions of the implementation of CAP, rural development, trade and other related policies. Currently, the AGRITRADE modelling team works with the main pan-European agricultural sector models (AGLINK, ESIM, CAPRI) and widely used general equilibrium models (GTAP, GLOBE).

 Most recent publications

Other publications can be looked at via and entering "21105" into the field "action".



Model-based analysis of CAP and commodity markets in Europe

Projections and policy impact analysis for European agricultural commodities and markets are gaining importance in the highly dynamic world markets and changing policies. Different agricultural sector models such as ESIM, AGLINK and CAPRI are used to analyse policy implications and market developments. The incorporation of non-food usage of agricultural commodities especially for bio-energy in agricultural sector models and at a later stage in a general equilibrium model (MAGNET) is also investigated.


International agri-food trade

International trade with agri-food commodities is driven by the dynamic development of agricultural markets. The impacts of multi- and regional trade agreements as well as the more and more relevant non-tariff barriers are analysed with quantitative tools, in particular general equilibrium models. Furthermore, the development of the food industry in Europe is investigated.



Methodological aspects of quantitative tools and databases

A high quality and availability of data on agricultural commodities are a precondition for quantitative analysis. However, existing databases reveal sometimes a lack of consistency and timely availability of data. To this end, a project on the potentials of a harmonisation of databases has been carried out.
An ongoing activity is the construction of disaggregated agricultural SAMs at EU Member States level.
Furthermore research is carried out on the linking of economic modelling at farm and market levels.




Economic impact of green growth

Agriculture is per se a sector with a high potential for green growth, i.e. growing economically while contributing to both reduced greenhouse gas emissions and the development of its role as a carbon sink. The AGRITRADE action contributes to this interdisciplinary research area with its economic modelling tools focusing on the implications for agri-food markets in agriculture's contribution to a low carbon society, impacts of sustainable management and use of resources (water, land, biodiversity) and to model risk and uncertainty on the supply side.


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